Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000565 0.000647 0.000734 0.000833 0.000943 0.001059 0.001193
2025-07-27 0.000433 0.000545 0.000672 0.000827 0.001008 0.001214 0.001462
2025-08-03 0.000359 0.000481 0.000628 0.000814 0.001041 0.001308 0.001641
2025-08-10 0.000312 0.000444 0.000607 0.000823 0.001095 0.001424 0.001847
2025-08-17 0.000272 0.000408 0.000583 0.000822 0.001133 0.001518 0.002024
2025-08-24 0.000231 0.000365 0.000544 0.000797 0.001135 0.001565 0.002141
2025-08-31 0.000197 0.000328 0.000510 0.000774 0.001137 0.001608 0.002253
2025-09-07 0.000175 0.000305 0.000493 0.000771 0.001164 0.001682 0.002404
2025-09-14 0.000157 0.000286 0.000478 0.000770 0.001191 0.001757 0.002558
2025-09-21 0.000139 0.000265 0.000458 0.000761 0.001205 0.001813 0.002686
2025-09-28 0.000121 0.000243 0.000436 0.000746 0.001209 0.001855 0.002795
2025-10-05 0.000114 0.000237 0.000437 0.000765 0.001263 0.001967 0.003003
2025-10-12 0.000105 0.000228 0.000433 0.000776 0.001308 0.002067 0.003198
2025-10-19 0.000094 0.000213 0.000419 0.000770 0.001324 0.002128 0.003340
2025-10-26 0.000083 0.000198 0.000401 0.000758 0.001331 0.002175 0.003462
2025-11-02 0.000077 0.000190 0.000397 0.000766 0.001369 0.002267 0.003651
2025-11-09 0.000069 0.000180 0.000387 0.000766 0.001393 0.002338 0.003810
2025-11-16 0.000060 0.000164 0.000365 0.000742 0.001378 0.002352 0.003884
2025-11-23 0.000052 0.000149 0.000345 0.000721 0.001366 0.002367 0.003961
2025-11-30 0.000047 0.000141 0.000337 0.000718 0.001383 0.002428 0.004108
2025-12-07 0.000042 0.000134 0.000329 0.000717 0.001404 0.002494 0.004262
2025-12-14 0.000038 0.000125 0.000317 0.000708 0.001410 0.002537 0.004381
2025-12-21 0.000033 0.000116 0.000304 0.000693 0.001406 0.002564 0.004476